Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.036573 0.039435 0.042435 0.045819 0.049535 0.053499 0.058052
2025-05-18 0.031746 0.035760 0.040197 0.045483 0.051635 0.058599 0.067119
2025-05-25 0.028603 0.033285 0.038669 0.045359 0.053502 0.063164 0.075600
2025-06-01 0.025990 0.031028 0.037005 0.044685 0.054382 0.066343 0.082406
2025-06-08 0.023819 0.029043 0.035407 0.043817 0.054772 0.068744 0.088216
2025-06-15 0.022207 0.027586 0.034292 0.043380 0.055555 0.071563 0.094646
2025-06-22 0.020851 0.026334 0.033312 0.042985 0.056277 0.074249 0.100999
2025-06-29 0.019507 0.024996 0.032108 0.042166 0.056306 0.075909 0.105937
2025-07-06 0.018798 0.024442 0.031889 0.042639 0.058106 0.080113 0.114854
2025-07-13 0.017997 0.023707 0.031367 0.042629 0.059179 0.083294 0.122437
2025-07-20 0.017445 0.023276 0.031225 0.043127 0.060990 0.087649 0.132162
2025-07-27 0.016704 0.022537 0.030601 0.042872 0.061637 0.090245 0.139241
2025-08-03 0.016035 0.021873 0.030058 0.042712 0.062427 0.093136 0.147106
2025-08-10 0.015388 0.021209 0.029478 0.042457 0.063042 0.095775 0.154761
2025-08-17 0.014835 0.020652 0.029022 0.042355 0.063875 0.098801 0.163328
2025-08-24 0.014183 0.019919 0.028266 0.041737 0.063822 0.100326 0.169305
2025-08-31 0.013530 0.019156 0.027427 0.040939 0.063412 0.101195 0.174118
2025-09-07 0.013021 0.018588 0.026858 0.040537 0.063628 0.103141 0.181103
2025-09-14 0.012554 0.018064 0.026333 0.040172 0.063876 0.105141 0.188349
2025-09-21 0.012025 0.017422 0.025595 0.039418 0.063399 0.105791 0.192951
2025-09-28 0.011800 0.017242 0.025575 0.039854 0.065021 0.110375 0.205937
2025-10-05 0.011488 0.016913 0.025302 0.039844 0.065843 0.113510 0.216207
2025-10-12 0.011294 0.016762 0.025305 0.040303 0.067531 0.118400 0.230702